Open Methodology

Know exactly when you can retire

Stop guessing. Our Monte Carlo simulations stress-test your retirement plan against thousands of market scenarios, showing you the true probability of success.

Get early access + exclusive launch discount

Be the first to plan your retirement with confidence.

The Problem

Most retirement planning is dangerously oversimplified

  • Using a spreadsheet with a single assumed return rate
  • Guessing whether you have 'enough' based on rules of thumb
  • Ignoring sequence of returns risk in early retirement
  • Manually updating projections as life changes
Our Solution

Institutional-grade modeling, accessible to everyone

  • Monte Carlo simulations stress-test 1,000+ market scenarios
  • See your actual probability of success, not just a number
  • Model both accumulation and decumulation phases together
  • Real-time recalculation as you adjust assumptions

Try it yourself

Adjust the sliders to see how your retirement probability changes. This is a simplified demo -- the full simulator offers much more.

35
60

$250,000

$2,000/month

$60,000/year

Estimated Success Probability

87%

Simplified projection using average market returns

Features

Everything you need to plan with confidence

Professional-grade tools designed for clarity, not complexity.

Monte Carlo Simulations

Test your plan against 1,000+ market scenarios using historical data back to 1871.

Portfolio Tracking

Connect real accounts or manually track assets with live Yahoo Finance data.

Withdrawal Strategies

Compare 4% rule, VPW, guardrails, and other methods side-by-side.

Multiple Scenarios

Create and compare what-if scenarios: early retirement, part-time work, relocation.

FIRE Calculators

Coast FIRE, Barista FIRE, Lean vs Fat FIRE, and more specialized tools.

Social Security Optimizer

Find your optimal claiming age based on longevity and spousal benefits.

Pension Analysis

Compare lump sum vs annuity options with breakeven analysis.

Healthcare Planning

Model ACA subsidies, Medicare costs, and healthcare bridge scenarios.

Methodology

Transparent, rigorous, open

No black boxes. We explain exactly how our calculations work so you can trust the results.

1

Historical Data

We use Shiller's dataset covering US stock & bond returns from 1871 to present.

2

Monte Carlo Simulation

1,000+ random paths through historical sequences test your plan's resilience.

3

Success Probability

We calculate the percentage of scenarios where your money lasts through retirement.

4

Continuous Refinement

Adjust assumptions in real-time and see how changes impact your outcome.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Ready to retire with confidence?

Join thousands of planners who stopped guessing and started knowing.

Get early access + exclusive launch discount

Be the first to plan your retirement with confidence.